Wednesday, April 25, 2012

UK sinks into double-dip recession


UK economy shrank by 0.3% in the fourth quarter of 2011 and by 0.2% in the first three months of 2012. UK is now technically back in recession. A recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction and is accepted by many economists.
Economists had expected the Office for National Statistics data to show the economy grew by 0.1pc between January and March.
The UK economy last entered recession in 2008, and emerged from it in the third quarter of 2009 after five successive quarters of economic contraction. It has been bumping along the bottom for more than a year and is still struggling to gain momentum. Finally it slid back into recession – a double- dip recession.
      Quarter
Growth rate(%)
2008 Quarter -2
-0.3
                     Q3
-0.9
                     Q4
-2.0
2009             Q1
-1.6
                     Q2                
-0.2
                     Q3
 0.2
                     Q4
 0.7
2010             Q1
 0.4
                     Q2
 1.1
                     Q3
 0.7
                     Q4
-0.5
2011             Q1
 0.2
                     Q2
-0.1
                     Q3
 0.6
                     Q4
-0.3
2012             Q1
-0.2
Markit analyst Chris Williamson described the report as "an ultra-gloomy picture of an economy that is struggling against the headwinds of deficit-fighting austerity measures, high inflation, weak pay growth, 8.3% unemployment and constrained credit, not to mention the ongoing financial crisis in its main export market, the Eurozone."
The Bank of England has warned that there is a risk of another contraction in the second quarter of 2012.
 "This is the worst recession/recovery cycle of the last 100 years," said Michael Saunders, an economist at Citigroup.


The U.K. is the eleventh EU member country to have entered recession. Nine of those were in recession in the fourth quarter of last year. The U.K. has been joined by Spain in entering recession in the first quarter. European countries now officially in recession: UK, Greece, Italy, Portugal, Ireland, Belgium, Denmark, Holland, Czech Republic, Slovenia and Spain.

Prime Minister David Cameron said the figures were "very, very disappointing". The UK government says it won't swerve from austerity despite the country going back into recession.
 "There is no complacency at all in this government in dealing with what is a very tough situation, which frankly has just got tougher."
He said it was "painstaking, difficult" work, but the government would stick with its plans and do "everything we can" to generate growth.
Labour leader Ed Miliband said the figures were "catastrophic" and asked Mr Cameron what his excuse was.
"This is a recession made by him and the chancellor in Downing Street. It is his catastrophic economic policy that has landed us back in recession," Mr Miliband said.